EARLYWIRE · signals before the wire
medium
Mw 6.8 → MMI VIII: 60 businesses (gas pipeline P1534, gas pipeline P1535, TSMC +57 more)
09:08:21 UTC · confidence 76% · estimated effect ~0.5σ (~0.7%) · detected by EARLYWIRE from primary sources
$TSM$9433.T$5401.T$3863.T$4005.T$MU
Mw 6.8 earthquake, 10km deep, near 2026 Uto, Japan Earthquake. Shakes 60 tracked businesses to ≥ MMI IV — strongest est. MMI VIII (severe — considerable damage) at gas pipeline P1534 (11km). Zone holds ≈0.93% of global crude steel supply (minor). Watch TSM, 9433.T, 5401.T, 3863.T for production-disruption headlines. Confidence 76%.
EVIDENCE
- gas pipeline P1534 — est. MMI VIII · 11km · gas pipeline P1534
- gas pipeline P1535 — est. MMI VIII · 11km · gas pipeline P1535
- TSMC (TSM) — est. MMI VII · 25km · TSMC JASM (Kumamoto)
- NTT西日本 — est. MMI VI · 61km · NTT西日本
- Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. Ltd. — est. MMI VI · 76km · Mine at Hishikari +4
- gas pipeline P1031 — est. MMI VI · 79km · gas pipeline P1031
- NTT — est. MMI VI · 83km · NTT +6
- Asahi Glass Co. Ltd., 52.4% — est. MMI VI · 88km · Plant at Sadowara
- Hyuga Smelting Co. Ltd. (wholly owned subsidiary of Sumitomo Metal Mining Co. Ltd.) — est. MMI V · 91km · Plant at Hyuga
- 北渓井坑 — est. MMI V · 91km · 北渓井坑
- gas pipeline P1555 — est. MMI V · 100km · gas pipeline P1555
- Taiheiyo Cement Co. Ltd. — est. MMI V · 103km · Mine at Oita +4
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