EARLYWIRE · signals before the wire
low
Mw 7.3 → MMI VII: 62 businesses (gas pipeline P3139, gas pipeline P3543, Montana Exploradora de Guatemala S.A. (Glamis Gold Ltd.: 100%) +59 more)
14:51:38 UTC · confidence 80% · estimated effect ~1.0σ (~2.0%) · detected by EARLYWIRE from primary sources
$HOLN.SW$BX$BAS.DE$BAK$KKR-PD$E$BP$LIN
Mw 7.3 earthquake, 19km deep, near 58 km WSW of Puerto Madero, Mexico. Shakes 62 tracked businesses to ≥ MMI IV — strongest est. MMI VII (very strong — moderate damage) at gas pipeline P3139 (68km). Zone holds ≈0.94% of global refining capacity supply (minor). Watch HOLN.SW, BX, BAS.DE, BAK for production-disruption headlines. Confidence 80%.
EVIDENCE
- gas pipeline P3139 — est. MMI VII · 68km · gas pipeline P3139
- gas pipeline P3543 — est. MMI VI · 77km · gas pipeline P3543
- Montana Exploradora de Guatemala S.A. (Glamis Gold Ltd.: 100%) — est. MMI V · 153km · Marlin Mine, near municipalities of San Miguel Ixtahuac�n and Sipakapa, Department of San Marcos
- Minas de Guatemala S.A. (private: 100%) — est. MMI V · 156km · Clavito, La Florida, and Los Lirios Mines, Ixtahuacan, Huehuetenango Department
- Sider�rgica de Guatemala S.A. (SIDEGUA) (Aceros de Guatemala S.A.: 100%) — est. MMI V · 236km · Electric arc furnace, City of escuintla, Escuintla Department
- Holcim (HOLN.SW) — est. MMI V · 244km · Arizona Cement Plant +3 · ≈3% of HOLN.SW t of cement
- Industria Galvanizadora, S.A. (INGASA) (Industrias Monterrey S.A. de C.V.L: 100%) — est. MMI V · 261km · Plant in the Capital City of Guatemala
- gas pipeline P0411 — est. MMI V · 297km · gas pipeline P0411
- Cementos Progreso S.A. (Holcim Ltd.: 20%, other private: 80%) — est. MMI V · 298km · San Miguel plant, Sanarate, El Progreso Department; La Pedrera plant, Guatemala
- oil pipeline P5470 — est. MMI V · 298km · oil pipeline P5470
- oil pipeline P5471 — est. MMI V · 298km · oil pipeline P5471
- Refinería del Pacífico — est. MMI V · 298km · Refinería del Pacífico
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