EARLYWIRE · signals before the wire
low
M4.7 (M(auto)) → MMI IV: 10 businesses (JFE Holdings, gas pipeline P0995, クラレ +7 more)
15:18:45 UTC · confidence 59% · estimated effect ~0.3σ (~0.4%) · detected by EARLYWIRE from primary sources
$5411.T$9502.T$5401.T
M4.7 (M(auto)) earthquake, 10km deep, near 35.8, 141.1. Shakes 10 tracked businesses to ≥ MMI IV — strongest est. MMI IV (light — felt indoors, no damage) at JFE Holdings (34km). Zone holds ≈0.42% of global crude steel supply (minor). Watch 5411.T, 9502.T, 5401.T for production-disruption headlines. Detector solution quality C (depth fixed at 10 km). Confidence 59%.
EVIDENCE
- JFE Holdings (5411.T) — est. MMI IV · 34km · JFE Bars & Shapes Kashima Works steel plant · ≈2% of 5411.T t of steel
- gas pipeline P0995 — est. MMI IV · 36km · gas pipeline P0995
- クラレ — est. MMI IV · 36km · クラレ
- gas pipeline P1004 — est. MMI IV · 36km · gas pipeline P1004
- JSR — est. MMI IV · 37km · JSR
- AGC — est. MMI IV · 37km · AGC
- Chubu Electric Power (9502.T) — est. MMI IV · 37km · Kashima thermal power station · ≈2% of 9502.T MW
- Sumitomo Metal Industries, Ltd. — est. MMI IV · 38km · Plant at Kashima
- 三菱ケミカル — est. MMI IV · 38km · 三菱ケミカル
- Nippon Steel (5401.T) — est. MMI IV · 40km · Kashima Kyodo power station +3 · ≈38% of 5401.T t of steel
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